Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Will Obama Abandon Meek?

Since Charlie Crist turned Independent and his numbers spiked, people have hypothesized that Kendrick Meek, the Democrat's candidate for Senate in Florida, may be about to get dissed by the White House. Will Obama come out and fully endorse Crist? No, because Meek is the only serious black candidate running for Senate in the United States this year, but some say he may be at the bottom of Obama's "things to do" list. By ignoring Meek, who by all accounts is a week candidate, Obama and his party could allegedly help Crist win the seat in return for his promise to caucus with the Democrats. However, I predict that regardless of Obama's level of support, if Meek stays in the race, Crist has no shot. But, if Obama sicks Rahm on Meek behind the scenes, and he drops out of the race, Crist stands a much better chance of besting Rubio as he would get 100% of the Democratic vote that turned out. Although possible, I think this scenario is unlikely and if I'm correct, I see Rubio taking 80% of the GOP vote, 50% of the Independent vote and even 15% of the Democratic vote.

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