Republican Mark Kirk now leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias in the race for the Illinois senate seat vacated by the president. The latest Rasmussen survey of likely voters shows Kirk grabbing 44% to Giannoulias's 40%. Surprisingly, Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones earns 4% and still 8% prefer some other candidate while 5% are undecided. The new poll represents a decline of 4% for Giannoulias.
Assuming Jones actually picks up his 4%, which he has held in every poll to date, and the "other candidate" votes are actually cast as such, there is only 5% of the electorate left to fight over. If this polling holds true, Kirk will either win by a larger threshold than expected or lose narrowly.
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